Polymarket Traders See 54% Odds Bitcoin Falls Below $45,000 by 2026

Polymarket data show 54% of traders now expect Bitcoin to drop below $45,000 by 2026, up from earlier levels as market volatility has increased in recent weeks. The prediction market reflects stronger downside positioning among participants, with contracts pricing in heightened risk of BTC reaching the $45,000 threshold over the next two years.