Polymarket pricing for 60+ day DHS shutdown jumps to 75%, up 37 points in 24 hours

Odaily Seer monitoring shows the U.S. House of Representatives has approved a stopgap homeland security funding bill intended to end the shutdown and sent it to the Senate. On Polymarket, the implied odds that the U.S. Department of Homeland Security shutdown lasts more than 48 days rose to 92% (up 31 points over the past 24 hours). The odds of a shutdown exceeding 52 days climbed to 54% (up 12 points), while the odds of it stretching beyond 60 days surged to 75% (up 37 points). Total trading volume on the related event contract has surpassed $1.1 million. The bill would fund DHS agencies at current levels through May 22, the latest effort to resolve the partial government shutdown that began Feb. 14. It passed the House 213"203, with three Democrats voting in favor and the remaining "yes" votes coming from Republicans. The measure is widely expected to fail in the Senate, which could extend the stalemate. Reports say the House rejected the Senate's version before advancing its own. House Speaker Johnson said Republicans will not back measures to reopen the border or pause immigration enforcement. Odaily Seer continues to track prediction markets for pre-pricing shifts.