How to Track High-Probability Polymarket Wallets and Spot Potential Information Edges

An article by Aleiah, compiled by Odaily Planet Daily and translated by Asher, details a systematic approach to tracking high-probability wallets on Polymarket, citing cases where one address turned $35,000 into $442,000 (12.6x return) and three wallets earned $630,000 on the "Venezuela raid" event. The piece notes all trades, positions, and capital flows on Polymarket are fully onchain and accessible via open API, arguing the real edge lies in extracting meaningful signals and identifying consistently informative wallets rather than treating the platform as a traditional betting site. It outlines behavioral traits of potential "insider addresses," including newly created wallets placing unusually large bets, highly specialized domain trading, abnormal position size changes, and repeated precise timing hours before major announcements. The article proposes a three-step process using Polymarket Analytics leaderboards, Top Holders lists, and detailed onchain transaction history, and suggests advanced tactics such as focusing on exit behavior, wallet clustering through fund flow analysis, monitoring volume spikes in illiquid markets, and cross-checking onchain moves with external public data.