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Noor Bazmi

Trump rules out pardon for Sam Bankman-Fried as prediction odds sink to 4%

On January 9 2026, President Donald Trump reiterated in a New York Times interview that he will not grant a pardon to Sam Bankman-Fried, who is serving a 25-year sentence over the FTX collapse. Bankman-Fried's prospects on prediction platforms remain low, with one market pricing his chances of a Trump pardon before 2027 at single-digit percentages. Trump has, however, issued clemency to other high-profile crypto-linked figures such as Ross Ulbricht and Changpeng Zhao.
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