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Sygnum: Iran war odds on Polymarket and Kalshi are becoming a macro signal
Sygnum Bank CIO Fabian Dori said shifting Iran-related war odds on Polymarket and Kalshi are increasingly used by professional crypto desks as real-time gauges of geopolitical risk. He pointed to odds moving alongside President Donald Trump's Sunday messages about threats and possible talks, followed by Bitcoin rising more than 3.5% on Monday. Dori added that institutional adoption and larger flows are bringing both mainstream integration and new integrity questions.