Technical Analysis

On Jan. 30, a CNBC Crypto World ticker briefly displayed XRP at $126.01, far above its market level, while veteran trader Peter Brandt reiterated a theoretical Bitcoin retracement zone near $25,000. Separately, OKX moved 41,128,246,331 SHIB from a cold to a hot wallet as broader crypto liquidations reached $1.7 billion and an $8.8 billion options expiry approached.

Crypto analyst Tony Severino contends that Bitcoin’s primary bullish cycle has already run its course, based on traditional market cycle theory and U.S. ISM PMI data. He notes that the PMI trend of lower highs and lower lows, with the index near 47.9 and key risk levels at 46 and 41.6, signals a weakening backdrop that conflicts with expectations for a fresh major uptrend. Severino also highlights a monthly moving-average breakdown and past 40% to 60% drawdowns, suggesting a potential downside target around $45,000 before any renewed bullish phase.

Bitcoin has dropped below $84,000 after several unsuccessful attempts to break through the $94,000–$97,000 resistance zone, with some analysts warning that a further decline toward the $74,000–$76,000 area is possible if the level does not hold. Other market observers point to historical cycle patterns that could see the price fall much deeper, while some analysts still view the broader structure as bullish and see potential for a move toward $200,000 before a major correction.

As of January, estimated electricity and all-in production costs to mine one BTC are about $59,450 and $74,300, while Bitcoin traded near $82,500 on Friday. A recent drop in hash rate and a reported miner pullback point to downside toward that cost band, though prior cycles have seen rebounds toward an energy-value fair price around $120,950.

Across the 24 hours between January 29 and January 30, total crypto market value declined from $2.96 trillion to $2.76 trillion, wiping out $200 billion. Bitcoin’s valuation slid from about $1.76 trillion to roughly $1.65 trillion, with price near $82,301 after slipping below the 100‑day moving average around $85,000.

On Thursday, Bitcoin slid beneath the $84,000 support that had held since mid‑November 2025, reaching $81,000 as long liquidations totaled about $1.6 billion. On January 30, 2026, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index printed 16, reflecting extreme fear. Analysts highlight the 200‑week SMA near $57,974 and, in a worst case, targets down to $50,000.

Bitcoin fell sharply this week in early US trading, sliding to slightly above $82,000 and triggering a wave of forced position closures. Data from Coinglass show about 270,000 accounts were liquidated across exchanges in the past day, with nearly $1.70 billion in contracts wiped out, mostly from traders positioned for further price gains. The selloff unfolded amid geopolitical tension, weaker tech earnings and renewed risk aversion across wider markets.

On January 30, Ethereum, XRP, Cardano, Binance Coin and HYPE all showed strong downside or volatile action, with several key supports under pressure. Ethereum dropped 7% and lost the $3,000 level, while XRP fell 8% after losing $2 and is heading toward $1.6. Cardano declined 10% to $0.33, BNB slid from a $900 rejection toward $800, and HYPE still closed the week up 35% after a 68% spike despite remaining in a broader downtrend.

On 30 January 2026 at 08:49, the total crypto market cap fell to about $2.78 trillion, down nearly 7%, as more than $1.69 billion in long positions were liquidated. Bitcoin dropped toward $82,000 and Ethereum slid below $2,800, with over 269,000 traders affected across derivatives markets.

On Thursday, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen said Bitcoin is likely to keep losing ground versus the stock market, warning that hopes for a rotation from gold and silver into crypto may be misplaced. Gold and silver hit all-time highs of $5,608.33 and $121.64, and Citi on Tuesday forecast silver could reach $150 within three months. Bitcoin traded at $82,859, down 7.78% over seven days, according to CoinMarketCap.