Trading

Bitcoin declined to $92,000 following a -32% drawdown from its all-time high, marking the steepest correction in the current cycle. On-chain data shows the P/L Score has remained in the -3 zone since November 6, a level historically associated with bearish market regimes and extended correction phases.

JPMorgan analysts project the U.S. stablecoin market will grow to approximately $700 billion in the coming years, significantly below the White House's $2-4 trillion target for 2028-2030. Teresa Ho, Head of U.S. short-duration strategy at JPMorgan, expressed doubt about rapid multi-trillion dollar expansion despite positive momentum following the GENIUS Act. The sector surpassed $300 billion in total market supply after the legislation passed in July.

JPMorgan analysts said on December 4 that MicroStrategy's financial stability holds greater influence over Bitcoin's short-term trajectory than recent miner selling activity. The firm's Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou noted that MSTR's enterprise value-to-bitcoin holdings ratio of 1.13 provides market reassurance despite declining hashrate and operational pressures on miners.

U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of $194.6 million on Thursday, marking the largest single-day withdrawal in two weeks, data show. BlackRock's IBIT led outflows with $112.9 million, while Fidelity's FBTC saw $54.2 million in withdrawals. Trading volume for these products declined to $3.1 billion from $4.2 billion the previous day.

Bitcoin is maintaining support near $92,000 as technical indicators show weakening bearish momentum. Market sentiment received support from two developments: Binance co-founder CZ challenged gold advocate Peter Schiff to verify a gold bar's authenticity at Binance Blockchain Week, while Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan dismissed concerns that Strategy might be forced to liquidate its Bitcoin holdings.

Approximately 37,000 Bitcoin options contracts with a notional value of $3.4 billion expire on December 5, with a put/call ratio of 0.94 indicating balanced positioning between bulls and bears. Ethereum options worth $667 million also expire the same day, bringing total cryptocurrency options expiry to approximately $4 billion. Max pain for Bitcoin is estimated at $91,000, while the highest open interest concentration sits at the $100,000 strike price.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said sovereign wealth funds purchased Bitcoin during its recent decline below $90,000. Speaking at the New York Times DealBook Summit on December 4, 2025, Fink said these state-backed investors bought incrementally at $120,000 and $100,000, then increased purchases when Bitcoin fell into the $80,000 range. He said these institutions are building long-term positions rather than trading.

Bitcoin recovered above $90,000 after falling to $88,000 earlier this week. The rebound was accompanied by positive shifts in derivatives markets and increased spot demand from U.S. investors, data show. A key futures market indicator reached 56.5, approaching the 60 threshold that would confirm sustained bullish conditions.

Ethereum has experienced three consecutive days of short position liquidations as whale investors deploy significant capital into the market. Notable transactions include a $10 million DAI purchase and a $29 million position by Machi Big Brother. Spot market participants have injected approximately $47 million into ETH purchases, indicating renewed confidence following an extended period below $3,200.

A previously inactive whale address withdrew 171 BTC valued at $15.79 million from Binance after a year of dormancy, according to Onchain Lens. Bitcoin traded at $93,050 with minimal 24-hour movement as Open Interest declined 0.70% to $60.19 billion, reflecting reduced trader activity while the asset tests descending trendline resistance.