Trading

Recent on-chain and derivatives metrics indicated that Bitcoin's sell pressure has reached a three-year high, while spot ETF flows have remained negative. Analysts highlighted liquidation clusters around $83.5k and between $90k and $94.7k, with expectations of a possible BTC move down toward $82k followed by a bounce toward $95k linked to a large options expiry.

On 25 December, a long-dormant Bitcoin whale and BlackRock reportedly transferred a combined 2,692 BTC, worth about $234.7 million, to Coinbase and OKX while BTC’s price remained range-bound. At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw five straight days of net outflows and futures open interest declined, signaling reduced leverage and cautious sentiment around key support near $86,000.

Analyst Steph said on X that XRP’s 3-week chart shows the Stochastic RSI at 0.00, a reading previously seen only at the 2022 bear‑market low. CryptoXLarge flagged $1.95 as a pivotal zone on the weekly chart, while ETF products have logged daily inflows since November 13 and hold over $1.1 billion, with XRP trading near $1.87 at the time of writing.

As 2025 enters its final week, DeepSeek AI released updated projections for XRP, Solana and Cardano through the end of 2026. The model flags a high-volatility phase and maps bull and bear paths: XRP's upside targets $4.50–$6.00 with a risk to $1.00, Solana's $275–$350 with $80–$95 downside, and Cardano's $0.85–$1.20 with a $0.25–$0.28 floor.

On Dec. 25, 2025, World Liberty Financial said on X that its USD1 stablecoin's market capitalization exceeded $3 billion. Binance launched a USD1 Booster Program offering up to 20% APR and began a 1:1 swap of B-Token BUSD collateral into USD1, while a BTC/USD1 spot pair flash crash briefly printed $24,000 before spiking above $87,000.

Bitcoin short sellers have strengthened their positions after a 23% Q4 price drop, while U.S. spot ETF demand and CME Open Interest have fallen to levels last seen in 2024. With basis trade yields dropping from near 10% in early 2025 to around 5%, traders are eyeing possible moves toward $80K on the downside and liquidations near $88K–$90,600 if price spikes.

On December 25, Bitcoin briefly fell under $87,000 during thin Christmas trading as ETF withdrawals and weak liquidity pressured prices, according to XWIN Finance. Its Trend Index printed 34/100 and the Fear and Greed Index hit 24. Net outflows were about 2,900 BTC (~$251 million), while Ethereum funds remained net negative on the week.

Bitcoin has traded in a tight $85k–$92k band throughout December, with a record $23.7 billion options expiry scheduled for Friday, 26 December. Analysts expect 5%–7% year-end price swings, with scenarios that include a dip toward $82k–$84k before a potential move toward the $95k max pain level.

Crypto.com is recruiting for an internal market-making desk in prediction markets, raising questions about fairness and structure. Coinbase expects its purchase of The Clearing Company to close in January, and JPMorgan is reportedly exploring crypto trading for institutions. DWF Labs settled a 25‑kilogram gold trade as part of a move into physical commodities.

On 25 December 2025, LD Capital's Trend Research expanded its Ethereum position, buying over 46,000 ETH worth about $137 million during a market dip. Despite unrealized losses above $140 million, founder Jack Yi said the firm plans to deploy up to $1 billion over time and is orienting its strategy toward a potential 2026 cycle.