Technical Analysis

XRP's ETF has logged more than 30 consecutive inflow days, with today's $10.89 million pushing total assets to $1.12 billion even as the token's price weakens. XRP trades near $1.92, over 40% below its yearly peak, and momentum signs suggest the selloff could be losing steam.

Alibaba's Qwen3-MAX AI issued dual-scenario forecasts for XRP, PEPE and DOGE into year-end 2025. The model outlines bearish targets near $0.15 for XRP, ~$0.000001 for PEPE and ~$0.04 for DOGE, and bullish targets up to $3.50 for XRP, 1,100% for PEPE and ~$1.20 for DOGE.

Bitcoin held above $85,000 after a recent sell-off, while spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $358 million in net outflows and the price sits 31% under the $126,219 all-time high. Despite the breach of the $90,000 level and short-term ETF weakness, correlation and volatility metrics, along with institutional positioning via ETFs and corporate reserves, suggest large investors have not definitively abandoned expectations for a move toward $100,000.

On Dec. 11, Glassnode researcher CryptoVizArt reported via X that a 5–7 year old XRP wallet with a ~$0.40 cost basis realized over $721.5 million in profit as price weakened near the $2.0 level. XRP later traded at $1.89, and traders are watching whether the repeatedly tested $2–$1.90 support zone holds into the weekly close.

Ethereum entered a short-term downtrend after failing to hold above $3,400 six days ago, sliding to a local low near $2,800 and trading around $2,926 with a 6.9% daily drop. One large ETH long holder on Hyperliquid saw unrealized losses exceed $54 million as derivatives liquidations accelerated, while technical indicators signaled weakening momentum and potential retests of lower support levels.

Pippin [PIPPIN] jumped 32.3% in the last 24 hours while Bitcoin fell 3.96% and the total crypto market cap dropped 4.13%. Open interest rose from $178 million on 15 December to $208 million, a 16.85% increase, alongside a 61.8% rise in daily volume. Despite a negative funding rate, coordinated whale accumulation appears to be driving the rally.

On December 15, CryptoQuant data showed short-term holders moved about 24.7K BTC to exchanges near ~$88.2K, with 86.8% realized in profit and over $1.89 billion in value. As price slipped toward ~$85K on December 16, STH inflows fell to 3.9K BTC while long-term holder inflows were muted, indicating profit-taking rather than structural distribution.

Across December, XRP has struggled near the $2.00 area as derivatives activity and spot participation weakened. Binance futures taker buy volume fell from above $5.8 billion in July to roughly $250 million, while the Estimated Leverage Ratio slipped to about 0.18. On Dec. 11, a long‑dormant wallet realized $721.5 million in profit.

In 2025, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio slid from roughly 40 to 20 ounces per BTC as gold outperformed and drew strong buying interest from central banks and ETF investors. Over the same period, spot Bitcoin ETF assets fell from $152 billion to $112 billion and long-term holders realized substantial profits, pressuring BTC on a relative basis. The move reflects diverging demand patterns for gold and Bitcoin rather than a fundamental collapse in BTC's long-term narrative.

On December 16, 2025, the US unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, above the 4.5% forecast and the prior 4.4%. Commentators say the highest reading since September 2021 could drive Federal Reserve easing in 2026. Bitcoin traded near $88,000 after the release, up 1.84% over the past three hours.