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CFTC asserts exclusive federal control over prediction markets in Ninth Circuit brief amid state pushback
On Tuesday evening, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission told the Ninth Circuit that Congress granted it exclusive jurisdiction over futures and event contracts, in a case involving Crypto.com and the state of Nevada. The filing underpins the agency's stance that fast-growing prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, fall squarely under its federal authority, even as multiple states and lawmakers challenge that view and raise concerns about gambling, consumer protection and public interest.
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2d atrás
Bitcoin Futures Basis Slumps to Lowest Levels Since October 2023 as Leverage Demand Fades
According to analyst David Lawant, collapsing premiums on CME Bitcoin futures indicate that institutional demand for leveraged exposure has dropped to levels last seen in October 2023. Traders are now showing less interest in upside leverage than during major stress events such as the April 2025 "Liberation Day" sell-off and the mid-2024 "German/JPY" unwind, signaling a shift from panic to deep market apathy.
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2d atrás
Why Crypto Custody Is About Access and Optionality, Not Just Secure Storage
Kamilah Stevenson, host of a wealth-focused YouTube show, argues that crypto custody is less about passive storage and more about ensuring investors can act when markets or regulations shift. She contrasts retail's focus on safety alone with institutional practices that prioritize segregation, bankruptcy-remote structures, OTC execution, and tax-advantaged wrappers. The core message is that the main risk in a more regulated environment may be being locked into setups that limit movement, borrowing, or portfolio rotation when needed.
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2d atrás
Citi Says Trump's Geopolitical Peace Agenda Could Remove Oil Risk Premium
On February 17, 2026, Citi analysts stated that global oil prices could fall if former President Donald Trump successfully brokers new geopolitical peace deals, as a significant risk premium remains embedded in crude markets. They estimate that geopolitical tensions can add $5 to $10 per barrel, and credible ceasefires or settlements could rapidly unwind this premium even before supply changes, while OPEC+ policy, China's demand and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve decisions continue to shape the broader price outlook.
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