The probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is at 63%, according to CME FedWatch Tool data on November 1. The likelihood of maintaining current rates stands at 37%.

A whale previously known for a 100% win rate increased its 13x leveraged Bitcoin long position by approximately $4.4 million on November 1, on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa) reports. The whale now holds 1,070.02 BTC valued at $117 million, with the total position currently showing an unrealized loss of $7.8 million.

Leveraged positions worth $193 million were liquidated across cryptocurrency exchanges in the past 24 hours, Coinglass data show on November 1. Long positions accounted for $101 million of the liquidations, while short positions totaled $92.15 million.

Multiple Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak next week, beginning Tuesday at 01:00 Beijing time with San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Jin10 reports. The speeches come as Chair Powell's recent remarks prompted markets to reconsider the likelihood of a December rate cut. Nonfarm payrolls data will not be released next week as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics enters its second month of government shutdown. JOLTS job openings and Challenger layoff figures will receive heightened attention in the absence of the usual employment report. Additional Fed speakers include New York Fed President Williams on Friday at 00:00 and 16:00, Cleveland Fed President Hammack at 01:00, Philadelphia Fed President Harker at 05:30, and St. Louis Fed President Musalem at 06:30 Beijing time.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated on Nov. 1 that current forecasts point to another interest rate reduction in December, Jin10 reports. The statement reflects the central bank official's interpretation of ongoing economic projections. Waller's remarks come as markets continue to assess the Fed's monetary policy trajectory heading into year-end.

Bitcoin transactions between $0 and $1,000 now represent 0.48% of total trading volume, down from 1.8% in 2021, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said. Daily retail trading activity stood at $108 million as of October 2025, below historical peaks of $132 million to $150 million. Transaction counts in the retail segment remain near historical averages at approximately 700,000 daily, though average transaction sizes have declined from previous cycles. The data reflect reduced retail speculation and a structural shift toward institutional participants, with smaller traders exerting less influence on market direction.

The ai16z token's market capitalization temporarily exceeded $100 million on November 1, currently standing at $93 million with a 24-hour trading volume of $12.5 million and a 34.3% price increase, HTX market data show. Binance announced the previous day that its Alpha and futures platforms would support a token swap for ai16z (AI16Z), which will be repriced and renamed to elizaOS (ELIZAOS). Following the token swap, ELIZAOS total supply will expand from 6.6 billion to 11 billion tokens (a 40% increase), while circulating supply will immediately rise from 6.6 billion to 7.4 billion tokens, per Binance's official announcement.

Binance Alpha will list Audiera (BEAT) at 17:00 UTC+8 on November 1, BlockBeats reports. Users holding at least 235 Alpha points can claim an airdrop of 245 BEAT tokens on a first-come, first-served basis, with the points threshold decreasing by 5 points every five minutes if unclaimed. Claiming the airdrop consumes 15 Alpha points, and users must confirm their claim within 24 hours on the Alpha activity page or forfeit eligibility.

Decentralized perpetual contracts recorded monthly trading volume exceeding $1 trillion for the first time, with 30-day rolling volume reaching approximately $1.3 trillion and open interest at $17.9 billion, DefiLlama data show in Sentora's Nov. 1 market report. Exchange net outflows totaled $2.06 billion over seven days, while Bitcoin on-chain transaction fees declined 8.6% to $2.03 million. The report noted on-chain derivatives have achieved structural significance, with macroeconomic developments now propagating rapidly through funding and open interest rather than spot markets.