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Analysts offered conflicting views on Bitcoin after the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI moved back above 50 for the first time since 2022. Andre Dragosch framed the backdrop as "reflation" and supportive for BTC, while Michaël van de Poppe and Titan of Crypto cautioned that current cycle dynamics and a possible bearish divergence could temper upside.

In January, the ISM Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.6, the strongest level since 2022, as U.S. manufacturing returned to expansion while Bitcoin traded near $78,000 in its fifth straight month of correction. Spot crypto volumes have fallen to their lowest levels since 2024 alongside $2.56 billion in liquidations and a total market capitalization of $2.58 trillion, as analysts debate whether the macro rebound can revive demand or if structural weakness will dominate.

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After a sharp weekend drop below $75,000, Bitcoin bounced back toward $79,000 on Tuesday, supported by renewed net inflows of about $561.9 million into US spot ETFs. Despite this short-term relief and broader altcoin gains, on-chain indicators showing roughly 44% of supply in loss suggest mounting structural weakness and the risk of an extended bear phase.

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The Institute for Supply Management said on Monday its Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.6 for January, the highest reading since August 2022. Some analysts view the stronger print as a potential tailwind for Bitcoin, which hovered near $78,000 after touching $75,442 on Monday and remains down almost 38% from its October peak.

Spot cryptocurrency spot trading volume on major exchanges has slid from about $2 trillion in October to roughly $1 trillion by the end of January, reflecting weaker demand and lower investor participation. Analysts link the contraction to a liquidity squeeze, stablecoin outflows and macro uncertainty, while some argue the pullback is a needed reset to reduce leverage and reassess Bitcoin valuations. Market cycle metrics based on short- and long-term holder realized prices suggest Bitcoin may not yet have reached a definitive price bottom.

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported that fear, uncertainty, and doubt have surged across crypto social channels after Bitcoin fell 16% over the past week and briefly touched $74,600. Analysts highlighted that retail selling drove a market drop that erased $440 billion in value and pushed BTC toward key support near $74,000, while opinions remain split on whether a relief rally or deeper bear-phase continuation is ahead.

On February 2, 2026, several analysts detailed near-term levels for Ripple's XRP after a roughly 4% rebound to just over $1.60. Ali Martinez highlighted supports at $1.42, $1.27 and $1.06, while CryptoWZRD cited a $1.64 reclaim and a path toward $2.00 contingent on Bitcoin dominance. Spot XRP ETFs recorded another small net outflow on February 2.

Digital asset investment products recorded $1.7 billion of weekly outflows, leaving year-to-date net outflows at $1 billion. Assets under management have declined by $73 billion since October 2025 highs, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and other majors seeing withdrawals while short Bitcoin funds drew $14.5 million.