1 ngày trước
Federal Reserve study finds Kalshi prediction markets rival professional forecasters in accuracy
On February 19, 2026, a Federal Reserve Finance and Economics Discussion Series paper reported that Kalshi’s prediction markets can match the accuracy of professional economic forecasters, especially for federal funds rate expectations. The study compared Kalshi’s market-implied forecasts to survey-based and other market-based methods, highlighting Kalshi’s continuously updated risk distributions. It also noted that Kalshi operates with full CFTC regulatory approval, unlike Polymarket, which remains in a legal gray area despite comparable liquidity in some markets.
1 ngày trước
1 ngày trước
Altcoin selling pressure at a record; Binance alt share slid from over 59% to 33.6%
On February 18, 2026, altcoin markets were described as facing record-level selling pressure, with little evidence of dip buying. Funds rotated toward BTC, meme tokens, and RWA assets, while altcoin participation on Binance fell from over 59% in November to 33.6% by February. Derivatives activity on centralized venues also waned amid higher liquidation risk.
BTC
BTC+1.13%
1 ngày trước
2-17
ORCA surges over 62% on February 17, 2026 as Upbit-driven short squeeze lifts price above $1.62
On February 17, 2026, ORCA, the native token of Orca DEX on Solana, jumped more than 62% in a day, briefly exceeding $1.62 and marking its strongest trading volumes since December. The move was fueled by a short squeeze, over $23M in open interest, and heavy activity on South Korean exchanges, with more than half of spot volume on Upbit and over 75% of trades against the Korean won.
ORCA
ORCA-11.53%
2-17
2-16
Are crypto rails and DeFi infrastructure mature enough to support neobanks in 2026?
On February 16 2026, an analysis examined whether current crypto infrastructure can adequately support neobanks and bank-like services. The discussion highlighted unresolved conflicts around stablecoin issuers paying interest, the dominance of card-based products, and the risks of DeFi lending and fake platforms. It also noted that despite user-friendly crypto cards and wallets, complexity, regulation, privacy exposure on public chains, and intense competition still hinder fully fledged crypto neobanks.
2-16
2-13
Huione Guarantee Sells Remaining Telegram Channels as USDT Laundering Activity Shifts in 2025–2026
Huione Guarantee has been disposing of its remaining Telegram channels, including through an auction that requires a 10,000 USDT deposit, after winding down activity and closing Huione Pay in late 2025. Research indicates that while its operations have been scaled back and rebranded, USDT-based laundering risks have migrated to smaller P2P markets and alternative payment services.
2-13