Exchange-held XRP has dropped to about 1.7 billion tokens, a seven-year low, while the spot price remains under pressure. A new framework points to 2026 outcomes shaped by regulatory clarity, spot ETF demand, and XRPL adoption, with scenarios spanning peaks of $1.60 to $2.69. Tightening tradable supply and persistent ETF inflows could influence price discovery if sustained.

After Bitcoin plunged to a new low around $76,000 on January 31, 2026, analyst Tyrex argued that the move confirmed a bearish breakout and advised traders not to go long. He compared the latest drawdown to previous structural breaks in May 2021, May 2022, and June 2022, saying a swift rebound toward $85,000 is unlikely. Tyrex instead expects further downside toward the $75,400 zone and highlights $74,000 as a key but potentially fragile weekly support, roughly mirroring a major level near $2,100 on Ethereum.

Gold and silver set new records in 2026, while Bitcoin’s October 2025 ATH above $126,000 was followed by weakness. According to analyst Mark Chadwick on X this week, the metals’ surge and Bitcoin’s lag form an unusually wide divergence that could precede rotation into crypto. His mapping outlines a 91.60% move toward $170,000 from the $82,000 area.

Dogecoin's price remains under pressure as a crypto analyst warns the meme coin could face another sharp drop if key technical conditions are not met. Following a major sell-off on October 10, 2025 and subsequent trading inside a descending channel, DOGE has struggled to break resistance and is consolidating around $0.12–$0.14. With price, market cap and volume all down more than 2.5% over the last 24 hours, the coin risks extending its broader downtrend into the end of January if selling persists.

CryptoBullet on X warns that Chainlink's weekly chart shows a head-and-shoulders pattern with an upward-sloping neckline near $10–$11; a weekly close below that zone could validate a bearish setup. The analyst's measured-move targets point to $4–$5 (about a 50% drop), with $7.15 as an intermediate support, while LINK trades at $11.98, up 1.1% on the day and down 5.4% over seven days.

Cycle analyst @Cryptollica shared a chart tracking the Dogecoin-to-NVIDIA ratio across several market cycles, showing the pair once again testing a long-term support zone. In past cycles, similar levels coincided with NVIDIA already having rallied strongly while Dogecoin later outperformed as speculative capital shifted toward higher-risk assets. The current structure suggests another potential rotation phase could be forming, though outcomes will still depend on liquidity conditions and risk appetite.

A high-timeframe trader has outlined a Bitcoin fractal that closely aligns the current market cycle with the structural pattern observed before the 2021 bull run. The comparison includes similar distribution phases, a drop to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, and recovery attempts capped by descending resistance, while also framing $100,000 as a key psychological barrier. Within this framework, potential moves toward the $98,000–$99,000 area and a median short-term cost basis near $95,000–$100,000 are highlighted, with a sustained break above $104,000–$105,000 flagged as the level that would invalidate the fractal thesis.

XRP saw a brief rebound in early 2026 and is now trading slightly above $2.0. Analysts highlight a recurring setup that previously drove a move from about $0.5 to over $2, with a decisive break above $2.26 and resistance between $3.4 and $3.7 viewed as key levels for the next leg higher.

Crypto analyst Bird said on X that XRP could be primed for its strongest rally, citing a breakdown in Bitcoin dominance that preceded major XRP surges in 2018, 2021, and 2024. He argues a confirmed drop in BTC.D could push the token into double digits. XRP trades around $2.14, down almost 5% in 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.