Certified Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal argues that XRP's year-long sideways range is a textbook Elliott Wave flat correction likely to end with a final sharp move before the uptrend resumes. He sees the market in an expanded flat where wave B has exceeded a prior high, warns of one more decisive shakeout that could undercut the $1.70 low, and maintains personal upside targets between $6 and $14, while XRP trades near $1.91. The analyst reports having already taken profits around $2.70 and plans to continue selling into strength depending on how price structure develops.

In Part Three of his “2026 Outlook” published on Jan. 21, veteran trader Nik Patel identified Bitcoin’s April 2025 swing low near $73,000 as the key higher-timeframe support that must hold to keep his bullish roadmap intact. He argued that a weekly or monthly close below this level could see BTC grinding in the mid-$50,000s for months with no new highs in 2026, while a defense of $73,000 supports his thesis for fresh all-time highs in the first half of 2026 and a “higher for longer” regime potentially extending into 2027. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $90,060.

On Jan. 22, analytics firm Santiment said via X that XRP's social data has entered "Extreme Fear" after about a 19% decline from the Jan. 5 high. The firm argues such bearish crowd sentiment has often preceded rebounds. XRP last traded near $1.9498 following the early-January surge and subsequent pullback.

Fundstrat's Tom Lee, in an interview released Jan. 20, reaffirmed a $250,000 Bitcoin target while warning 2026 could be "jagged" for crypto adoption and broader risk assets. He cited potential S&P 500 drawdowns of 10%–20% and pointed to an Oct. 10 crypto deleveraging and market‑maker fragility as key variables. Lee views major pullbacks as buying windows.

CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost reports a clear drop in BTC whale inflows to Binance: after end‑November's panic phase saw nearly $8 billion in monthly transfers, current inflows have been cut to around $2.74 billion, signaling softer sell-side pressure. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says institutional demand remains strong, citing 577K BTC ($53B) added over the past year.

Bitcoin fell to $91,920 late Sunday in New York, down 3.8% from about $95,500, as risk-off flows struck crypto majors. President Donald Trump said 10% tariffs on imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands and Finland will begin Feb. 1, rising to 25% on June 1 unless a Greenland deal is reached. Coinglass reported $874.93 million liquidations in the past 24 hours.

XRPL developer Bird (@Bird_XRPL) said on X that XRP's hourly chart is coiling into a contracting triangle and could break "before the end of the week," with a measured upside objective near $2.69. He linked the setup to a broader "risk-on" tone in equities and strength in the Russell 2000. At press time, XRP traded around $2.06.

Keyrock, using data visualized with Dune, has released a “12 Charts to Watch in 2026” dashboard pairing live crypto market datasets with explicit forecasts for next year. The report highlights prediction markets, tokenized RWAs, x402 payments, onchain vaults, derivatives depth, buybacks, Solana MEV, Zcash privacy, Ethereum blobs, card spending, spot BTC ETFs, and stablecoin funding as key indicators of whether trading, issuance, payments, and funding are becoming more institutional. It also notes the total crypto market cap at $3.25 trillion at press time.

In early 2026, Bitcoin reclaimed $96,000. According to Glassnode's Week On-chain report, the move has run into a $93K–$110K long-term holder cost basis band formed during April to July 2025, while $98.3K is highlighted as the short-term holder line-in-the-sand. The note also warns that losing the True Market Mean near ~$81k could tilt risk toward deeper downside.