Prediction markets are projected to handle $40 billion in transaction volume in 2025, a more than 400% jump from the prior year, and could begin to rival the $300 billion global sports betting industry in 2026. Driven by platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, analysts expect these markets to evolve into data and "truth" layers that inform fact-checking, risk management, and broader trading decisions.

Bitcoin could drop to between $60,000 and $80,000 by year-end if the Federal Reserve maintains current interest rates at its December 9–10 policy meeting, data show. The probability of a rate cut has fallen to around 40% amid missing labor data. BTC has declined approximately 24% this month as rate-cut expectations weakened.