On 2 January 2026, Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone outlined a 2026 base-case where risk assets come under renewed pressure and long-dated U.S. Treasurys quietly regain appeal. He sees Bitcoin as more likely to revisit the $50,000 zone than to sustain a break above $100,000, while U.S. equities could even face a rare third straight losing year. In this scenario, mean reversion, volatility and tactical trading replace the broad bull-market momentum that dominated prior cycles.

Turkmenistan has legalized cryptocurrency mining and trading under a licensing regime, with exchanges and miners supervised by the central bank. The legislation was signed in late November and came into force this week, while cryptocurrencies remain excluded as legal tender. The policy aims to diversify the gas‑dependent economy without loosening state control.

Crypto losses slowed in December 2025, totaling roughly ~$76M, more than 60% below November's $194.27M. The largest hits were an address-poisoning mis-send of about $50M and compromised multisig keys exceeding $27 million, while browser wallets remained frequent targets. Additional cases included a Trust Wallet extension issue near $7 million and a Flow ecosystem breach close to $4 million.

On December 31, 2025, crypto ETF flows split across major assets as investors reduced exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum while adding to Solana and XRP. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw roughly $348 million in net redemptions and Ethereum about $72 million, whereas Solana attracted around $2.3 million and XRP roughly 2.97 million XRP in new allocations.

On 1 January 2026, Binance detailed an attempted fraud in which a user allegedly forged chat logs and transfer records to pose as a scam victim and pressure the exchange's support team for compensation. Internal checks, including blockchain analysis, indicated the wallet tied to the supposed scammer was controlled by the complainant and that documents came from an escrow platform and were altered to fit the story. The case underscores how crypto scams are expanding from targeting users directly to attacking exchange trust systems, amid wider industry losses from phishing, address poisoning, and social engineering schemes.

On 31 December 2025, Coinbase's policy chief Faryar Shirzad warned on X that limiting stablecoin "rewards" could weaken the global appeal of dollar-linked assets. He cited a People's Bank of China plan to permit interest on digital yuan wallets from Jan. 1, 2026, amid Senate talks over the GENIUS Act.

On 31 December 2025, analysts said crypto's 2026 outlook depends on how forcefully the Federal Reserve eases policy. The Fed cut rates three times in 2025, but sentiment stayed weak as later moves failed to spark momentum and Bitcoin trades about 30% below its October peak. Expectations for earlier 2026 cuts remain cautious.

On 30 December 2025, observers noted the BTC/XAU ratio is tightening near zones that historically preceded Bitcoin reclaiming leadership from gold. After sliding from around 20x, the ratio could gravitate toward 13x if market volatility stays muted, while technical indicators suggest gold's momentum may be fading.

Binance has adjusted fiat withdrawal channels in Ukraine, suspending direct card payouts to Visa and Mastercard that many local users relied on. The move follows the winding down of services from its former fiat partner Bifinity and has paused some automated features, while core crypto trading, card purchases, bank transfers and P2P operations remain available. Binance expects broader payment functionality, including via Zen.com, to fully resume in early January 2026, leaving users to depend on bank and peer-to-peer routes in the meantime.