Bitcoin stayed below $80,000 after a drop of more than 6%, and traders on X highlighted $74,400 and $49,180 as downside liquidity. Rekt Capital noted a 21–50 week EMA crossover last seen in April 2022, with BTC down 17% from $90,000 to $78,000, while a CME futures gap near $84,000 may pull price short term.

Bitcoin dropped more than 7% over the weekend, pushing BTC price under $80,000 and close to its April 2025 low around $74,500. The move sent Bitcoin below the $80,700 true market mean and threatened Strategy's more than 700,000 BTC corporate treasury, which turns negative around $76,037. Analysts highlighted mounting liquidations and key downside levels, including the prior cycle peak at $69,000.

Bitcoin briefly pushed toward $90,500 before slipping back under $90,000 as traders awaited the latest Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. Gold climbed to a record above $5,300 per ounce while the US dollar index weakened, adding to macro uncertainty that failed to trigger a decisive BTC breakout. Market participants highlighted the narrowing $86,000–$93,000 range and warned that a weaker rebound from support could signal growing downside risk.

Bitcoin traded near $88,000 on a volatile Tuesday session, with analysts watching whether support above $87,000 can hold into the daily close. One trader's tool signaled a high likelihood that BTC would avoid revisiting the prior day's low, while on-chain data pointed to only moderate positive momentum. A separate Wyckoff-based market view projected a potential "spring" swing low below $80,000 on the BTC/USDT pair around this week's key macro events, including the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision.

Bitcoin’s 21-week exponential moving average has crossed below its 50-week counterpart for the first time since April 2022, a move some analysts view as a potential new bear market signal. The last time this crossover appeared, Bitcoin needed about seven months to establish a macro low, while its current performance versus silver has already returned to levels seen around the 2022 FTX-related downturn.

Bitcoin fell to multiday lows into the weekly close, with BTC price sliding toward the $86,000–$87,000 region as U.S. futures prepared to open. Traders highlighted rising liquidations above $250 million, a potential U.S. government shutdown and upcoming Federal Reserve and macro data events as key downside risk drivers.

At the Friday Wall Street open, according to TradingView data, Bitcoin stayed under $90,000 while gold touched $4,967 and silver approached $100. Traders focused on the 2025 yearly open at $93,500 and key pivots at $86.8K and $91K, as Capriole founder Charles Edwards outlined a $12,000–$23,000 gold path over 3–8 years.

Onchain data from 2024 and 2025 shows that Bitcoin long-term holders with coins dormant for at least two years have revived more supply than in any prior cycle. Analysts note that this wave of selling, which intensified once BTC passed $40,000 and continues into early 2026, differs from the 2017 and 2021 bull markets because it involves significantly older coins and less speculative momentum. They suggest Bitcoin may be entering a new phase marked by a shift in who holds BTC and for what reasons.

Bitcoin fell to an eight-day low before the first U.S. stock session of the week, with trading data showing a renewed move toward $90,000 after a failed breakout from its recent range. Analysts highlighted a new death cross between the 21-week and 50-week SMAs and pointed to key levels around $93,500, $87,000 and a potential drop toward the $58,000–$62,000 zone.