Polymarket Shows 97% Odds Powell Stays Through Year-End Amid Resignation Rumors

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has a 97% probability of remaining in his position through year-end, Polymarket prediction markets showed on Dec. 1. The forecast comes despite circulating speculation of an emergency meeting scheduled for 7 p.m. ET Monday where Powell would potentially announce his resignation. Market participants have largely discounted the likelihood of a leadership change at the central bank before 2025.