With Bitcoin trading near $63,200, Polymarket markets assign a 17% chance that the price will surpass $75,000, even as technical signals and whale flows point to mounting headwinds. Large holders have reduced but not reversed selling, and strong resistance around $72,200–$73,200 contrasts with key support close to $63,300, leaving price trapped between major levels.

Bitcoin has fallen back under $69,200 after failing to sustain levels above $70,000, with technical readings and onchain indicators signaling a fragile phase in its current cycle. The CVDD metric, cited at $45,225, is being watched as a historically important long-term support zone even as intraday charts highlight resistance near $69,500 and possible downside toward $66,500. Traders are weighing short-term speculative flows against conviction-based holding, with price action clustered around the $68,000–$70,000 band.

Recently released legal files show that Jeffrey Epstein followed Bitcoin from its early price swings, discussed funding key infrastructure, and cultivated ties with major industry figures. The documents describe his role in Blockstream's initial financing, his 2016 proposal for a blockchain-based "Sharia Coin" to wealthy Saudi contacts, and his continued skepticism about buying Bitcoin even near its 2017 peak.

Bitcoin slid below $80,000, briefly touching $75,500 and trading near $76,564, as nearly $5 billion of leveraged positions were unwound over the last three days. Analysts see resistance at $79,200–$82,000 and support at $75,500–$75,000 with risk toward $70,000, while a power‑law model places BTC 35% under its 15‑year trend.

Bitcoin is edging toward $90,000 as the US dollar posts its sharpest decline in years and the dollar index hovers near 96, a level linked to earlier crypto bull runs. With the greenback at its weakest since 2022 and policy signals from President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pulling FX markets in different directions, traders are watching whether sustained dollar weakness can reinforce recent gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

A quarterly survey by Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode (Dec 10, 2025–Jan 12, 2026) found 70% of institutions view Bitcoin as undervalued, with most holding or adding after a roughly 30% drawdown from the peak. CoinGecko data indicate BTC stayed below $90,000 this week as investors await the Federal Reserve's policy decision.

On Monday, gold broke above $5,000 and set a fresh record at $5,110 per ounce, while Bitcoin traded in the mid-$80,000s, well below its prior peak above $126,000. CoinShares reported $1.73 billion in weekly outflows, including $1.09 billion from Bitcoin, as the Dollar Index slipped to 96.7 and technical gauges from TradingView and InvestTech turned negative.

On Wednesday at the WEF in Davos, President Donald Trump said he aims to sign crypto market structure legislation "very soon" and vowed the US would be the "crypto capital," lifting risk assets. Bitcoin rose over 2%, moving back toward $90k after a $87,000 low, while tariff timelines for Feb 1 and June 1 kept macro tensions elevated.

The Senate Banking Committee scheduled a CLARITY Act markup for January 15, with amendment discussions expected later in the month. Draft provisions span SEC/CFTC roles, DeFi oversight, and stablecoin incentives, while institutional sentiment improves as Bitcoin nears the $100,000 threshold. The committee's direction will shape market structure and adoption expectations.