Bitcoin slid to $65,530 on Friday after trading near $71,300 on Thursday, an 8% drop that coincided with broader risk-off moves tied to US economic uncertainty and the Israel-Iran war. Options pricing on Deribit implied a 53% probability that BTC remains under $66,000 by April 24, while $210 million in leveraged long BTC futures was liquidated and the $18.6 billion monthly options expiry left most calls worthless.

Ether (ETH) fell 6% between Wednesday and Thursday, retesting $2,050 as risk-off sentiment weighed on crypto markets. A sustained move above $2,400 may depend on reversing three signals: $298 million of net spot Ether ETF outflows since March 18, a weekly Ethereum DEX volume average of $9.4 billion (about 50% below late-2025 levels), and a 2% annualized premium in 2-month ETH futures.

Bitcoin is heading into a $18.6 billion monthly options expiry on Friday, with bulls needing a roughly 6% move from around $70,900 to reach $75,000 and tilt the settlement in their favor. The market has traded between $67,700 and $71,600 over the past week, and the options positioning implies most call exposure could lapse if BTC cannot hold above key strike levels into the 8:00 am UTC expiry.

Bitcoin retested $67,500 support on Monday as investors shifted toward cash while gold logged its steepest correction in more than 50 years. US 5-year Treasury yields rose to 4.10% and oil moved above $90, as futures pricing showed a 20.5% chance of a July rate hike. The risk-off backdrop also weighed on tech stocks, with several major names down 10% or more over the past six weeks.

Bitcoin jumped 4% within minutes after US President Donald Trump said he aimed to temporarily de-escalate the Iran conflict and seek negotiations, but derivatives data still showed traders avoiding aggressive long exposure. On Monday, BTC’s 2-month futures annualized premium sat near 2% versus spot and Deribit pricing implied about a 20% chance of $80,000 by April 24, suggesting skepticism around the $68,000 area.

Bitcoin hovered near $70,000 in Friday trading after failing to hold $75,000 on Tuesday, alongside two days of $254 million net outflows from US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs. Even so, options data showed heavier hedging, with put premium demand about 2.5x calls and a 30-day delta skew at 16%. Traders also pointed to weaker macro conditions and elevated oil prices as factors keeping risk appetite muted.

SOL fell 11% over three days after topping at $97.70 on Monday, and the drop to $87 on Thursday coincided with $25 million in leveraged long liquidations. Derivatives positioning turned cautious, with perpetual funding near 0% and a 12% 30-day options skew, while Solana DApp revenue sank to $22 million—its lowest level in 18 months—adding pressure to a potential $80 retest.

On Monday, personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki warned that a major traditional finance bubble burst is approaching and claimed Bitcoin could reach $750,000 within a year of the crash. His scenario also assumes gold jumps to $35,000 per ounce and silver’s market cap exceeds $11 trillion. The analysis notes that his Bitcoin target implies a lower Bitcoin-to-gold ratio than past peaks and emphasizes Kiyosaki’s mixed track record of predicting crashes.

Bitcoin briefly climbed above $73,000 on Friday and held the $70,000 area as weak US economic data and conflict in Iran pushed investors toward scarce assets. Despite four straight days of net spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and a 14% rally from Feb. 24 to March 4, BTC remains tightly correlated with tech stocks and vulnerable to macro headwinds like elevated oil prices. Analysts suggest the five‑month decline from the $126,000 peak in October 2025 may still be in play, and recent price action has yet to confirm a decisive breakout.