Polymarket Shows 98% Probability U.S. Government Shutdown Ends by Nov. 15

The probability that the U.S. government shutdown will end between Nov. 12 and Nov. 15 rose to 98% as of Nov. 13, Polymarket data show, with only a 2% chance of resolution after Nov. 16. The U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to vote on legislation to end the shutdown at approximately 8:00 AM Beijing time on Nov. 14.