Bitcoin Nears Local Bottom as Market Shifts to Consolidation Phase, Bitfinex Says
Bitcoin rebounded last week, aligning with expectations of a local bottom, Bitfinex said in a Dec. 2 report. The adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio dropped below 1 for only the third time since early 2024, matching dynamics at prior cyclical lows in Aug. 2024 and April 2025, while Entity-Adjusted Realized Loss spiked to $403.4 million daily, exceeding levels at previous major lows. BTC futures open interest declined to $59.17 billion from a peak of $94.12 billion, with the contraction occurring alongside spot price gains, indicating short covering rather than new speculative positioning. The report noted extreme deleveraging, short-term holder capitulation and seller exhaustion have established foundations for a stabilization phase, with reduced fragility potentially setting a base for sustained recovery in Q4.