يزيد متداولو بيتكوين من رهانات الهبوط مع تراجع السعر، عبر شراء خيارات بيع قصيرة الأجل تستهدف مستويات قد تصل إلى 52,000 دولار. ويعكس ذلك تنامي النظرة السلبية في السوق مع استعداد المستثمرين لاحتمال استمرار الانخفاضات. وتُظهر هذه المراكز أن بعض المشاركين يتوقعون مزيداً من الضعف في قيمة بيتكوين خلال الفترة المقبلة.

Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo said bitcoin has twice briefly traded below its 200-week simple moving average in the past two weeks before recovering by each week's end. He said historical data show buyers below that level saw median returns of more than 100% over the following year, with $63,900 near the 200-week SMA of $62,358 at the time of writing. Perfumo added that drawdowns and time-to-breakeven have typically been limited for purchases made under the long-term average.

On June 17, 2026, markets are watching Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first interest-rate decision, with no rate change widely expected. Bitcoin (BTC$64,734.08) could respond positively if the dot plot is less hawkish than the 80% December-hike odds implied by fed funds futures, if Warsh leans dovish on inflation, or if he hints at sharply reduced forward guidance. Separately, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has eased to 4.43% from above 4.55%, a move that can be supportive for risk assets.

بدلاً من الاكتفاء بقراءة الرسوم السعرية التقليدية، تقارن هذه النظرة أداء بيتكوين ومؤشر S&P 500 بعد ضبطهما وفق أثر «آلة طباعة النقود» المرتبطة بسياسات البنوك المركزية التي تزيد المعروض النقدي. عبر تعديل الأسعار بما يعكس التضخم ووفرة السيولة في الاقتصاد، يمكن الوصول إلى تصور أوضح لقيمتهما الفعلية وسلوكهما في السوق عبر الزمن.

سجل بيتكوين ارتفاعًا ملحوظًا بعد قرار بنك اليابان رفع أسعار الفائدة إلى أعلى مستوى لها في 31 عامًا. ويعد هذا التحرك إشارة إلى تحول مهم في سياسة البلاد النقدية. وقد استقطب القرار اهتمام المستثمرين والمحللين الماليين.

Bitcoin is trading near $64,000 after peaking above $126,000 earlier this year, while a long-observed Fibonacci retracement framework suggests a deeper drawdown is possible. The 61.8% retracement from bitcoin's near-zero 2010 starting point to the latest peak sits at $48,215, a level that prior bear markets have historically broken below. The setup has not been triggered in the current cycle, and the analysis notes the pattern is not a guarantee.

SpaceX is scheduled to start trading on Nasdaq on June 12, 2026, after a $75 billion IPO, and market participants are weighing how the listing could affect crypto sentiment. One view is that more than $5 billion of outflows from bitcoin ETFs helped push BTC below $60,000 as investors sought IPO liquidity, which could later rotate back into crypto. Others warn that record IPOs have often appeared near equity-market peaks, potentially pressuring risk assets, including bitcoin, which has hovered around $63,000 after briefly dipping under $60,000 last week.

Bitcoin is trading just over $62,000 after falling nearly 16% from above $74,000 last week, with $60,000 seen as the next key test and $55,000 cited as the next support if that level breaks. Zcash dropped as much as 37% in a sharp one-day move after Shielded Labs disclosed a critical Orchard pool vulnerability, while Arthur Hayes said he sold his entire ZEC position following the exploit report.