Bitcoin has erased its March gains and is down 1.40% on the month and 24.6% in Q1 2026, with some analysts eyeing the risk of another 40% downside. Ecoinometrics data suggests every additional 10% decline has historically added about 80 days to the time needed to regain prior highs, implying a deeper selloff could push a full recovery past Q2 2027.

XRP's Sharpe Ratio moved slightly into positive territory on March 26 after hovering near or below zero from October 2024 through February 2025, alongside a 30-day average return of 0.00063 and a Sharpe reading of 0.0267. Whale flows also rose to a 30-day moving average of $9 million per day, while futures data showed a 14.8% 24-hour open interest jump and multiple long liquidations above $2.5 million, underscoring fragile positioning.

Bitcoin’s "total supply in profit" fell to 50.8% on Feb. 5 and stood at 60.6% on Thursday, a range often seen around market-cycle reset phases. Historical comparisons cited alongside the metric include BTC rising from $16,682 in January 2023 to $126,000 in 2025, and from about $6,500 in March 2020 to $69,000 in 2021. Analysts also point to softer short-term selling and valuation bands that have previously appeared during heavier retail stress.

Ether's readily tradable supply is shrinking as staking participation climbs and exchange-held balances continue to decline. About 38.1 million ETH, or roughly 33.1% of the total supply, was staked on Wednesday, while large exchange outflows and multi-year-low reserves suggest fewer coins are immediately available for spot trading.

Bitcoin climbed above $71,600 at the US market open and briefly traded over $71,700, but spot activity on Binance stayed unusually weak. Analysts flagged March Binance spot volume near $52 billion versus $88 billion in September 2023, while the rally coincided with heavy short liquidations and falling futures open interest.

Bitcoin fell nearly 5% after a strong start to the week, moving lower alongside major US equity indexes and gold as the US and Israel–Iran war entered a fourth week. Over the past three months, outflows from S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 ETFs hit $64 billion, while spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $253 million leave over the past two days. Analysts cited weaker liquidity and geopolitical uncertainty as factors weighing on demand, with some flagging downside levels such as $55,000–$60,000.

Ether's 30-day average positive net taker volume rose to $142 million on March 17, a level last seen in July 2022, pointing to renewed aggressive buying in derivatives markets. Analysts say ETH could stabilize near $2,000, but a break below $2,150 and a slide into lower liquidity zones may raise the risk of a deeper move toward areas with heavy liquidation interest.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $69,000 on Thursday, returning to a six-week range after recently trading above $76,000. Data cited in the report shows heavier selling in perpetual futures than spot, while funding turned positive at 0.05% and bids clustered near $70,000. Analysts outlined upside targets near $72,000–$76,000 if price reclaims $70,000, but warned a break under $68,300 could shift attention to $65,000 and $62,000.

Bitcoin's push to $76,000 has improved sentiment, but Glassnode says onchain signals still fit an early-stage recovery rather than a confirmed bull market. The firm points to an "open" $72,000–$82,000 zone and notes supply in profit is around 60%, below the 75% level it views as stronger confirmation.